The Risk Behind Indonesia’s Renewable Energy Boom

Indonesia is entering a new era of renewable energy investment, with solar, geothermal, floating solar and battery energy storage creating significant opportunities. But every new megawatt also creates a new risk profile. The challenge is not only generating renewable energy, but ensuring that the assets, capital and revenue behind each project remain protected when disruption occurs.

Managing Project, Construction, Operational and Business Interruption Risks in the Energy Transition

The renewable energy transition is creating significant opportunities for investors, developers, technology providers, EPC contractors and financial institutions.

Solar panels are appearing on rooftops and large-scale developments. Floating solar projects are being developed on reservoirs. Geothermal projects continue to require significant investment in exploration, drilling and specialised equipment. Battery energy storage systems are introducing new technologies into the electricity ecosystem.

Behind every project, however, is a complex chain of dependencies.

A solar project depends on panels, inverters, transformers, cables and other electrical equipment. A floating solar project introduces additional exposure involving water conditions, anchoring, mooring and access. A geothermal project involves exploration, drilling, well integrity and high-temperature equipment. Battery energy storage introduces additional technology, thermal and fire-related considerations.

And every renewable energy project has another fundamental dependency:

It must be designed correctly, constructed properly, commissioned successfully and operated reliably.

This means the investment case cannot be separated from the risk case.

As Indonesia accelerates renewable energy development, the question is therefore not simply how much new capacity can be added.

The more fundamental question is:

Are risks being understood and managed at the same speed as investment?

Indonesia's Energy Transition Is Creating New Investment Opportunities

Indonesia's Energy Transition Is Creating New Investment Opportunities

Indonesia's energy landscape is evolving.

The development of renewable energy is creating opportunities across solar photovoltaic, floating solar, geothermal, battery energy storage and other emerging technologies.

For investors and project developers, the conversation typically begins with capacity, investment value, technology, tariff, Power Purchase Agreement, financing and expected returns.

These are fundamental elements of project development.

But behind those commercial considerations sits another layer of dependencies.

A renewable energy project is a long-term investment in physical assets, technology, infrastructure and contractual relationships.

A project may require equipment manufactured in different countries, transported through multiple logistics routes and assembled at locations that may be geographically remote.

The project may also depend on a specific technology provider, EPC contractor, grid connection, specialist equipment and long-term maintenance arrangements.

A disruption affecting one critical component can therefore have consequences extending far beyond the damaged asset itself.

This creates an important risk-management question:

How can renewable energy investment remain resilient when the project itself depends on so many interconnected components?

Risk Begins Before Construction

One of the common misconceptions in project development is that insurance becomes relevant when construction begins.

In reality, the risk profile starts developing much earlier.

During the development stage, important decisions are already being made.

Where will the project be located?

How reliable is the energy resource?

What technology will be selected?

Who will design and construct the facility?

How will critical equipment be transported?

What are the contractual responsibilities between the owner, EPC contractor, suppliers and operators?

What happens if a critical component is delayed?

What happens if the project cannot achieve Commercial Operation Date as planned?

These questions are not simply insurance questions.

They are investment, financing and project-bankability questions.

A project with poorly understood risks may become more difficult to finance, more difficult to insure and more vulnerable to unexpected financial consequences.

Risk management should therefore begin as part of project development—not as an administrative exercise immediately before construction or financing.

Construction Creates the First Major Physical Exposure

Construction Creates the First Major Physical Exposure

Once construction begins, the risk profile changes significantly.

Renewable energy projects can involve thousands of components, multiple contractors, international suppliers and complex logistics.

Consider a large-scale solar project.

Panels may arrive from overseas. Inverters, transformers and other critical electrical equipment may come from different manufacturers. Heavy components must travel from ports to project locations. Construction may take place in remote areas and under challenging weather or geographical conditions.

Then an unexpected event occurs.

A shipment is damaged.

A transformer fails during installation.

A crane accident damages critical equipment.

A severe storm damages partially completed structures.

Or a critical component arrives late and delays the construction schedule.

The financial consequences can extend far beyond the damaged item.

They may include:

  • Repair or replacement costs
  • Additional transportation expenses
  • Contractor and labour costs
  • Testing and recommissioning expenses
  • Construction delay
  • Additional financing costs
  • Loss of expected revenue

This is why construction risk should be assessed according to the actual project configuration, rather than simply treated as a standard insurance requirement.

Different Technologies Create Different Risk Environments

Renewable energy should not be treated as a single risk category.

Different technologies create different exposures.

A solar photovoltaic project may involve equipment failure, weather exposure, transportation risks and electrical system failures.

A floating solar project introduces additional considerations involving water conditions, anchoring and mooring systems, access, wind and wave conditions, and the interaction between the floating structure and the reservoir environment.

A geothermal project carries a different set of exposures, including exploration uncertainty, drilling, well integrity, reservoir conditions and high-temperature equipment.

Battery energy storage systems introduce another layer of technology-related exposure, particularly involving thermal behaviour, electrical systems and fire.

The technology therefore matters.

But so does the location, design, construction methodology, equipment specification, contractor capability and operating environment.

The same technology can produce very different risk profiles when deployed in different locations and under different project conditions.

Natural Catastrophe Risk Cannot Be Ignored

Indonesia's geography creates another important dimension of renewable energy risk.

Projects may be located in areas exposed to earthquakes, volcanic activity, floods, landslides, storms and other natural hazards.

Renewable energy assets are often developed where the natural resource is available.

That can mean remote islands, mountainous areas, coastal locations or reservoirs.

The location that makes a project attractive from an energy perspective can therefore also create additional risk exposure.

This makes site selection an important component of risk management.

A project feasibility assessment should not only ask:

Is the resource suitable?

It should also ask:

What natural hazards exist at this location, and what would happen to the project if one of them occurred?

The answer can influence engineering decisions, construction methodology, asset protection, business continuity planning and the overall financial risk profile of the investment.

The Risk Does Not End at Commercial Operation Date

Commercial Operation Date is often treated as the point at which a project transitions from development into revenue generation.

From a risk perspective, however, it represents another transition.

Construction risk becomes operational risk.

The question is no longer simply:

Can we complete the project?

It becomes:

Can the asset perform reliably for the next 20, 25 or 30 years?

Equipment can fail.

Transformers can malfunction.

Fire can occur.

Extreme weather can damage assets.

Transmission infrastructure can become unavailable.

Critical components may require long replacement periods because of manufacturing or global supply-chain constraints.

An asset can therefore be physically operational today but financially vulnerable to an interruption tomorrow.

This makes operational risk an important part of the renewable energy investment equation.

Physical Damage Is Only One Part of the Financial Risk

Physical Damage Is Only One Part of the Financial Risk

The value of the damaged equipment is often the most visible component of a loss.

But for an energy project, it may not be the largest financial consequence.

Consider a critical transformer.

The physical loss may be the cost of repairing or replacing the transformer.

But the financial exposure can extend much further.

The replacement may need to be manufactured overseas. It may have a long lead time. Transportation may take additional weeks. Installation and testing will take additional time.

During that period, the project may be unable to generate electricity at its expected capacity.

Revenue may be lost.

Financing obligations continue.

Contractual commitments remain.

Operating costs may continue.

The result is an important distinction:

Physical damage is visible. The financial exposure created by downtime may be much larger.

Business Interruption Can Become the Larger Exposure

A major component failure can therefore create a chain of financial consequences.

For example:

Equipment Failure → Repair / Replacement → Extended Downtime → Loss of Generation → Loss of Revenue

The longer the repair period, the greater the potential financial consequence.

This is particularly relevant for capital-intensive projects financed through long-term debt.

The project may be unable to generate expected revenue while debt service obligations and other financial commitments continue.

Business interruption should therefore be considered alongside physical asset protection.

The objective is not simply to restore the damaged equipment.

It is to understand the financial consequences of the period during which the project cannot operate as intended.

Supply Chain Creates Another Layer of Exposure

Renewable energy projects can also depend heavily on international supply chains.

Critical equipment may be sourced from specialised manufacturers. Some components may have limited alternative suppliers or long manufacturing lead times.

A loss involving one critical component can therefore become significantly more serious if an immediate replacement is unavailable.

The exposure can arise from:

  • Equipment availability
  • Manufacturing lead times
  • International transportation
  • Port disruption
  • Customs and import processes
  • Limited alternative suppliers
  • Specialist installation requirements

This creates an important risk-management consideration:

The financial impact of equipment failure depends not only on the probability of failure, but also on how quickly the equipment can be replaced.

Contractual Risk Is Part of the Project Risk

Renewable energy projects also involve multiple parties.

The owner may appoint an EPC contractor. Equipment may be supplied by international manufacturers. Specialist contractors may be responsible for installation and commissioning. Operators may later assume responsibility for the completed asset.

Each party may have different contractual responsibilities.

When a loss occurs, several questions become important:

Who is responsible?

What does the contract say?

What obligations have been assumed by each party?

Who bears the consequences of delay?

What happens when a supplier, contractor or subcontractor fails to perform?

This means risk allocation between the project parties is an important part of overall project risk management.

Insurance cannot replace clear contractual risk allocation.

Accumulation and Interdependency Risk

Renewable energy projects can also contain significant concentrations of value.

A project may have many panels, electrical systems, transformers, control systems and other components operating within a relatively concentrated location.

A single event can therefore affect multiple assets simultaneously.

A natural catastrophe can damage several components.

A fire can affect multiple systems.

A failure in a critical electrical component can interrupt a significant portion of the project's generation capacity.

The risk assessment should therefore consider not only the value of individual assets, but also the maximum value and operational capacity exposed to a single event.

This is particularly important when assessing the potential financial consequence of major losses.

From Insurance Protection to Renewable Energy Risk Management

From Insurance Protection to Renewable Energy Risk Management

At L&G, we see renewable energy risk as a connected system rather than a collection of individual insurance requirements.

The starting point is not:

"What insurance policy should we buy?"

The more fundamental question is:

"What can go wrong, what would the financial consequence be, and which part of the risk should be controlled, retained, allocated or transferred?"

This requires understanding the project as a whole.

The assessment should consider the development stage, location, technology, engineering, construction methodology, equipment supply chain, transportation, contractual responsibilities, natural catastrophe exposure, operational reliability, business interruption and financial dependencies.

Insurance then becomes one component within that broader risk-management framework.

Building a Bankable Risk Architecture

For investors and project developers, renewable energy risk can be considered through five fundamental questions.

1. What Can Go Wrong?

Identify the technical, natural, construction, contractual, operational and financial risks that could affect the project.

2. How Severe Could the Consequence Be?

A low-probability event can still represent a significant project exposure if its financial consequence is substantial.

3. Can the Risk Be Prevented or Reduced?

Engineering controls, quality management, HSE procedures, preventive maintenance, contractor management and business continuity planning should be considered before relying on risk transfer.

4. Who Should Bear the Remaining Risk?

Responsibilities between the project owner, EPC contractor, supplier, operator and other parties should be clearly defined.

5. What Risk Should Be Transferred?

Only after the first four questions have been addressed should insurance protection be designed around the remaining financial exposure.

The sequence is therefore:

Identify → Assess → Mitigate → Allocate → Transfer

This approach creates something more valuable than an insurance programme.

It creates a risk architecture for the investment.

Insurance Is Not the Risk Management Strategy

Insurance is an important financial risk-transfer mechanism.

But it does not replace:

  • Good engineering
  • Proper HSE management
  • Quality control
  • Contractor management
  • Preventive maintenance
  • Emergency response planning
  • Business continuity planning
  • Supply-chain planning
  • Strong contractual risk allocation

The stronger these disciplines are, the stronger the project's overall risk management framework can become.

Insurance should therefore support the risk strategy—not become a substitute for it.

For a renewable energy project, appropriate insurance protection may involve different combinations of construction, cargo, property, machinery breakdown, business interruption, liability and other covers depending on the actual project structure and exposure.

The appropriate programme should be designed around the project's risk profile rather than simply around a standard list of policies.

The Objective Is Investment Resilience

Indonesia's renewable energy transition is likely to create an increasingly complex ecosystem involving investors, developers, banks, EPC contractors, technology providers, manufacturers, logistics companies, operators, insurers and regulators.

All of these parties are connected.

A failure in one part of the chain can affect the entire project.

A damaged component can delay construction.

A delayed project can affect financing.

An equipment failure can reduce generation.

Reduced generation can affect revenue.

A prolonged interruption can create pressure on the project's financial structure.

This is why risk management needs to become part of project development.

Not an administrative exercise added immediately before construction.

Not simply a financing requirement.

And not simply a matter of purchasing insurance.

The objective is to build projects that can absorb disruption, recover from loss and continue creating value.

Protecting the Value Behind Every Megawatt

Indonesia's renewable energy opportunity is significant.

The technology is developing. Investment is increasing. New projects are emerging across different parts of the energy ecosystem.

But sustainable investment requires more than adding capacity.

It requires understanding the risks behind that capacity.

A renewable energy project is not simply a collection of panels, turbines, wells, batteries, transformers and electrical systems.

It represents capital invested for the long term.

It represents expected revenue.

It represents contractual commitments.

It represents financing obligations.

And ultimately, it represents value that needs to be protected.

A project becomes more resilient when its risks are understood from the earliest stage of development, when responsibilities are clearly allocated, when preventable risks are controlled and when the remaining financial exposures are appropriately transferred.

Because every megawatt represents more than energy capacity.

It represents capital at risk, assets at risk, revenue at risk and long-term value that needs to be protected.

At L&G Insurance Broker, we believe the starting point is understanding the business, identifying the risk, designing the appropriate solution and protecting the value behind the investment.

Understand the Business. Identify the Risk. Design the Solution. Protect the Value.

Terhubung dengan kami

Mari Diskusikan Kebutuhan Risiko Anda

Hubungi Omar untuk mendiskusikan kebutuhan asuransi dan solusi pengelolaan risiko Anda melalui halo@lngrisk.co.id atau WhatsApp.